WA Delegate (non-executive): The Thomistic Republic of United Massachusetts (elected )
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Regional Power: Moderate
Today's World Census Report
The Fattest Citizens in Right to Life
World Census takers tracked the sale of Cheetos and Twinkies to ascertain which nations most enjoyed the "kind bud."
As a region, Right to Life is ranked 7,641st in the world for Fattest Citizens.
|1.||The Christian Empire of The Rouge Christmas State||Corporate Bordello||“Jesus, You alone, You rose from death with the morning”|
|2.||The Ancient Waldensian Republic of New Sequoyah||Corporate Bordello||“Light shines in the darkness.”|
|3.||The Constitutional Monarchy of Failesian Empire||Capitalist Paradise||“God preserve us”|
|4.||The Kingdom of Tarvelia||Conservative Democracy||“For God and Queen”|
|5.||The Republic of Cyberpunker||Right-wing Utopia||“God, Prosperity, Liberty”|
|6.||The Kingdom of Barbaric Origins||Compulsory Consumerist State||“Might Makes Right”|
|7.||The Eternal Empire of Halsaw||Corporate Police State||“Self reliance and self determination”|
|8.||The Republic of Eastern Coa Ruzzoalakurs||Anarchy||“Twirling Toward Freedom”|
|9.||The Confederacy of Claymore States||Capitalist Paradise||“God, Homeland, Liberty”|
|10.||The Holy Empire of The holy Hobos of the holy land||Right-wing Utopia||“For Freedom!”|
- : The Empire of UntiedEmpires arrived from The Commonwealth Of The Argimin.
- : Embassy cancelled between The High Ground and Right to Life.
- : Montevano ceased to exist.
- : The Holy Democracy of The Universe World of the region The Great Universe cancelled the closure of its embassy in Right to Life.
- : The Federal Republic of Otopolia arrived from Merridel.
- : Embassy cancelled between Zero Zero Zero Zero and Right to Life.
- : East cypros ceased to exist.
- : Freedom peninsula ceased to exist.
- : Tetons ceased to exist.
- : Embassy cancelled between The Order Of The Afternoon and Right to Life.
Right to Life Regional Message Board
1 and 2. Adoption requires that the birth mother be willing to go through nine months and labor/delivery. Not always the case. Plus, the cost of adoption is prohibitive, which is why forcing the cost to go down would actually help reduce abortion rates.
Aside from foster care adoptions, here's an excerpt: "According to Child Welfare Information Gateway, working with a private agency to adopt a healthy newborn or baby or to adopt from another country can cost $5,000 to $40,000. Some agencies have a sliding scale based on the prospective adoptive parent’s income. The cost of working with an attorney and not involving an agency may range from $8,000 to $40,000 and averages $10,000 to $15,000."
Compare that with the average abortion cost in my state (Texas): https://www.aclutx.org/en/know-you-rights/abortion-in-Texas#:~:text=The%20cost%20of%20an%20abortion,%241%2C500%20for%20a%20procedure%20abortion.
"The cost of an abortion varies depending on several factors including how far along you are in your pregnancy and which abortion provider and method you choose. The cost in the first trimester is between $300 and $800 for a medication abortion and between $300 and $1,500 for a procedure abortion."
It's relatively easier to get that kind of money rather than assume people have thousands of dollars sitting around for potential adoptions. Also, re: "financial support" plenty of married couples get abortions to, and two-income situations are the norm as it is. So, financial support would be there in that case, there's other reasons for why they would be wanting an abortion.
3. If the guy doesn't remember the event, he's likely way too intoxicated and opening himself up for possible legal charges as well, depending on the consent for sexual activity on both sides. If you're that drunk, should you really be trying to have sex at that point? As mentioned in previous post, contraception doesn't fully eliminate risk, it can only reduce the likelihood of the natural consequence of sex. This also ties in that BC is solely on the woman's shoulders (you didn't mention the guy needing a condom or anything else here), expecting that every woman would like to be/should be on BC, is willing to accept the side effects, etc.
Not yet. I am recieving catechism for now and the priest tells me to be patient, so I am...
Thank you for the prayers! I have a small problem as Jehovah's Witnesses shun their members who leave and I am facing loosing contact with all people I knew that are JWs including friends and falimy... So that's a problem... Other than that I believe in the apostolic faith and I can't pretend to be a JW qnymore like I did since last year...
Indeed, the difference between proceeds through and proceeds from a single source.
Louis Armstrong is not a dead traitor.
Horatius Cocles is right that “likability” works against women. But I think this particular point is correct. Obama could be funny, regardless of what side of the aisle you were on. Kamala Harris’ sense of humor is racist stereotypes of her heritage that her own father has to distance himself from.
I don’t find it’s as much of a problem with Republican women (although Carly Fiorina tapped into Amy Klobuchar energy with her suburban mom jokes), but I find very few Democrats funny in the first place. Even Bernie, who I like, is not remotely funny (although I don’t think he’s so serious he can’t laugh at a good joke).
Obama at least used to be a very good politician. He was so charismatic he could always mask his true intentions. The Democratic Party, by and large, has abandoned even that facade. They’re just blatantly donor-driven and corrupt.
I expect she'll give Obama a run for his money in the kind of media fawning she'll receive, especially if she takes over the big seat.
That's to be expected, but it also does not necessarily help. Less consistent methods and smaller sample sizes means you're more likely to see a lot of variance, you may end up with a disproportionately Trump sample, for example, when you're not bringing in as many people, and if the race was quite close, one would expect to see at least a handful of polls showing Trump winning big, but those haven't come about.
Carter, yeah, and I would count H.W. towards it, though obviously his situation is obviously a little weirder. It's either 1-to-1 for second-term-loss vs. third-term-win, or 2-to-1.
They don't need to be, they just need to be ticked off about Trump who, though this feels like a fever dream a lifetime ago, has still been impeached. Whether or not you think that was valid (I actually do not) is ultimately irrelevant, the prime factor is how most Americans saw it through the media lens, a lens that rather heavily one-sided, a huge percentage of Americans still believe in Russian collusion even post-Mueller after three years of wall-to-wall coverage. Anti-Trump Americans are much more motivated against him in 2020 then in 2016.
I don't know if that was a typo to say that Nixon was not very controversial, but it isn't especially wrong. He was polarizing like most any politician, but very much unlike Trump he kept an approval rating consistently over 50% for basically the entirety of his first term-it never even dipped into the high forties until 1971, and was back up above fifty pretty quickly after. Trump would love to see an approval spike into the high forties.
That's exactly my point. Right now, Biden is primarily "That guy who was #2 to Obama", and Obama is still popular. As long as Biden can be "That old dude that Obama liked" and not "A senile man trying to beat up voters in between not putting sentences together", he'll win. He wants voters not to know anything about him.
I'm not sure how you can see Trump as somehow being painted less negatively in 2020 than in 2016. In 2016 he got plenty of flak for being controversial, but there was still a fair amount who saw the 'outsider' bit as a possible 'shake things up' chance as you'd expect after two terms of one party, just look at someone like Joe Scarborough playing rather nice with him for much of that year compared to today. In 2020, he's not a blundering businessman, he's (portrayed as) the guy who rigged an election with the help of evil Russia and had to be impeached for doing it again with Ukraine and who will break the entire democratic system of the United States if his corruption is allowed in again.
You acknowledge the media's effect but don't seem to see it. Trump in 2020 doesn't have the "Hey, let's give him a shot" appeal that he had in 2016, and the conception of him among doubters and opponents is undeniably more negative. I don't know how you can say that the left only thinks of Trump as "dumb or annoying", they literally think of him as poised to destroy American democracy.
On Biden, as I said earlier, I think it is wishful thinking that he will get much more scrutiny. Some, sure, and the polls will narrow to some extent as they always do, but the media that actively favors him has little interest in exposing his flaws after their belief that they made Hillary lose by actually occasionally reporting on her scandals, and I expect them to keep pushing out coronavirus news as long as they can. There may not even be debates at this point, Biden is not going to get even a significant fraction of the scrutiny that he would in a normal election year.
Biden doesn't just need to underperform, he needs to somehow follow up the highest midterm turnout for his party in modern American history with numbers coming in below the most consistently unpopular President in modern American history. Underperfoming is not going to cut it, he needs to actively self-destruct and blow up his own campaign. That is possible, especially if we actually have debates, but it's not something to break on.
McCain and Romney ran against the first black guy ever to be President, Trump against Hillary and cornbread Kaine. It really is silly to ignore the opponent when, again, every single Republican who ever ran against a white person did better with black voters than Trump.
Minority unemployment is the highest it has ever been since the Great Depression. That's a talking point that doesn't fly anymore. Not that it was not a good one, it had some merit to it-but it's gone, and the forefront of the image of Trump among black voters is now his opposition to taking down Confederate statues and the endless media narrative looking to portray him as racist.
I feel like we've seeing two vastly different versions of Fox, because the network that I see is one that has been deeply Trumpified over the last few years. Seriously, the face of Fox News today is Tucker Carlson, and I don't know what you're imbibing if you think he's the bastion of pro-infinite migration, the guy is getting sponsored pulled from his show because of anti-immigration comments. Follow that up with Laura "Democrats want to replace Americans with migrants" Ingraham and I don't know where you're coming from.
No-one every sees the correction or the counterpoint, only the initial. If you went around asking people, I'd just about bet money that more had heard about his 'vermin' comments than saw a rat on camera in a follow-up. The media steps on plenty of rakes if you're very politically involved and paying close attention. The overwhelming majority of voters are not.
A Newsweek poll that literally referenced the burning of the police building in Minneapolis in protest and then asked if they were justified had 54% of people say that they were either fully or partially justified, only 38% said they were not. On both riots and the lockdowns, the numbers in support really grind on me, but they seem to pretty consistently be there.
That the coronavirus shilling did not collapse with the millions of unmasked marchers in the streets shows that it is plenty durable to keep surviving at least through the election.
2016 is proof that voting against someone else does work, mate. Trump won that election not from support from the people who liked him, only 32% of people said he was "qualified to be President" compared to 46% for Hillary, but because voters who disliked both him and Hillary broke overwhelming for him, he won 66% to 15% among voters who said that neither candidate was qualified. In 2020, that's reversed, and voters who dislike both Trump and Biden are heavily backing Biden. Trump absolutely needed those people to win the election in 2016, and now he does not have them.
I would be interesting to see some of the confident models that you're referencing.
Bringing up that the Republicans had their largest majority since the 40s undermines your claim that 2018 was not a banner year for Democrats. Their majority is small because the previous GOP majority was a big one-in terms of the actual number of seats lost, 2018 was the single worst year for the GOP since 1974.
I very much disagree with that line of argument, that a tighter spread of approval ratings is somehow better. In a one-on-one election, your ceiling is far more important than your floor. In modern-day America, you're not ever going to see any candidate's vote share fall below the low forties, even if their party nominated a corpse, because there is an immense number of voters on both sides in America that are fundamentally unwilling to vote for the other side no matter who they put up. Trump having a stable approval rating in the low forties does almost nothing for him, he was never going to fall below that number even if he or any other Republican President "shot someone on 5th avenue." Bush's approval fell into the twenties-but if he had run again, he would have broken forty regardless, it's how polarization works.
What the ceiling indicates, higher spikes in approval, is the willingness of people who may not be consistent fans to vote for you, which is particularly important for an incumbent. An approval that fluctuates between, say, 25% and 55% is giving you the indication that up to fifty-five percent of people are at least willing to consider giving you a shot, while the twenty-five is just going to leave you with a grumpier low-forties. The guy with the consistent 40% approval has the same average as the one with the swings, but they don't have the potential for growth, and that potential is at the heart of incumbency advantage. Incumbency advantage is "Eh, I don't know if I like that guy or not, but I'll stick with him."
That's what lets someone like Obama, who had 43% approval at this time in 2012, to win re-election, because well over half of Americans could say that they had approved of him at at least one point, and "sure, let's give him another chance." Trump does not get that, does not have that crucial block of people who at some time or other supported him and might do so again, because he's been so tied to a solid but little-growing number that's well below a majority. With the economy shot, a wholly negative media cycle, and Biden escaping scrutiny, incumbency advantage is the last real hope Trump has got, and Trump's lack of a spread in approval means he does not even get that.
Eastern Catholic also means those under Patriarchs... The Full name is Eastern Orthodox Catholic Church and Eastern Catholic is also used to describe us.
Just so we don't talk at cross purposes, I generally use "Eastern Catholic" to describe those Eastern Churches in communion with Rome. While I fully respect that "Catholic" is in the name of the Orthodox Church, most people would simply use the term "Eastern Orthodox" in common conversation, as I do.